Dr. James Bwala
The 2027 formation of the Nigeria Coalition Alliance against the Tinubu-Shettima ticket marks a significant moment in Nigerian political history. This coalition, led by former Vice President Atiku Abubakar, former governor of Rivers and Minister Rotimi Ameachi, former governor of Osun State and Minister of Interior Rauf Aregbesola, former Senate President David Mark, former governor of Anambra State and Labour Party presidential candidate Mr. Peter Obi, and former governor of Kaduna State Malam Nasiru El-rufai, remains ambitious in its aim to challenge the prevailing political dominance under President Bola Ahmed Tinubu and Vice President Kashim Shettima. However, the coalition is fundamentally built on weak concrete, characterized by fragile alliances and ideological inconsistencies.
The diverse nature of the coalition members, drawn from various ethnic and political backgrounds, undermines its unity and coherence. Without a shared vision or strong institutional framework, sustaining such an alliance becomes precarious. The coalition’s strategy appears reactionary rather than visionary, focusing primarily on opposition rather than offering a compelling alternative policy agenda. This reactive posture diminishes its credibility among voters seeking substantive governance solutions. Additionally, internal power struggles and a lack of clear leadership threaten to fragment the alliance before it can effectively mobilize support. While the Nigeria Coalition Alliance represents a critical attempt to reshape political dynamics in 2027, its weak foundations cast doubt on its potential for lasting impact against established figures like Tinubu and Shettima. The coalition’s inability to effectively address these internal challenges may ultimately lead to its unraveling, leaving the political landscape unchanged and allowing the status quo to persist without meaningful opposition.
To strengthen its position, the alliance must urgently address these structural weaknesses by fostering genuine collaboration and articulating a cohesive vision that resonates with the electorate. Only then can it hope to transform from a fragile assemblage into a formidable political force capable of challenging the entrenched power structures. Moreover, building trust among the coalition’s diverse factions is essential to overcoming the entrenched skepticism that currently hinders its progress. This trust-building effort requires transparent communication and shared decision-making processes that empower all coalition members, ensuring that their voices are heard and valued.
The leadership from each geopolitical zone or region has a debt to pay with the electorates following their lack of engagement with the grassroots until now and for the same selfish ambitions that have grounded them politically in the zone they each represent. However, when the dues are fully paid, engaging with grassroots movements and civil society organizations can provide the alliance with a broader base of support and legitimacy, helping to bridge the gap between political elites and ordinary citizens.
Prioritizing these strategies, the Nigeria Coalition Alliance can reinforce its foundation and better position itself to challenge the status quo in the upcoming elections. However, it lacks the immediate and decisive action to implement these strategies, and without these, the alliance risks remaining a mere footnote in Nigeria’s political history rather than a transformative force for change. Do we see them trying to avoid this fate? A BIG “NO.” The pace at which the Tinubu and Kashim Shettima unveiling purposes in leadership is taking its ground across these political zones defines the coalition. If they are to make impacts, they must act swiftly to address internal divisions and present a unified front that can inspire confidence and rally widespread support across the nation. This requires cultivating a culture of inclusivity and collaboration, where diverse perspectives are not only welcomed but actively sought out to strengthen the coalition’s resolve and purpose. But this too did not seem to be in place, and they unfolded and fell over themselves in this wild drunkenness.
The coalition must establish clear and transparent communication channels to build trust among its members and the broader electorate. It is imperative that the alliance prioritize the development of a coherent policy agenda that resonates with the aspirations and needs of the Nigerian populace. By doing so, the coalition can effectively counteract any attempts by Tinubu and Shettima to undermine its unity and objectives. But these too are lacking in their formation, leaving the old gaps that continued to exist within the political opposition Nigeria has had to make do with since independence.
Additionally, fostering inclusivity and ensuring that all voices within the coalition are heard will be crucial in maintaining solidarity and preventing internal divisions. This will require a concerted effort to establish transparent communication channels and equitable decision-making processes that reflect the diverse interests of its members. This lack of cohesion has led to internal disagreements, weakening the alliance’s ability to present a united front against Tinubu and Shettima. To overcome these challenges, the coalition must engage in strategic planning sessions that focus on identifying common goals and crafting a shared vision for Nigeria’s future. Only by addressing these foundational weaknesses can the coalition hope to transform its fragile framework into a robust and enduring force capable of challenging the entrenched political dynamics.
Politics is not about throwing stones at leaders; the coalition lacks the right investment in grassroots mobilization to galvanize public support and increase its influence across different regions of Nigeria. Strengthening its grassroots presence will not only broaden the coalition’s outreach but also empower local communities to actively participate in shaping the political landscape. By prioritizing grassroots engagement, the coalition can tap into the collective power of the populace, ensuring that its platform is both representative and responsive to the everyday realities faced by Nigerians.
This grassroots strategy will also serve to build trust and legitimacy, crucial elements for sustaining momentum and countering the entrenched power structures that Tinubu and Shettima represent. However, without addressing the internal power struggles and fostering a culture of inclusivity and mutual respect among its leaders, the coalition risks perpetuating the very divisions it seeks to dismantle. To this end, fostering open communication and transparency within the coalition’s leadership will be essential in mitigating conflicts and unifying its diverse factions. Building a cohesive leadership team that is committed to these principles will be paramount in maintaining unity and focus as the coalition navigates the complex political terrain ahead.
James Bwala, PhD, writes from Abuja.
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